With the technology and advanced data at our disposal in modern college football, these predictions are only getting better. Sift through some of those staggering numbers, decimals and percentages to learn more about the game you’re not watching New Mexico State’s looming group-of-5 match up against the upstart Louisiana Tech Bulldogs.
This article will explore the role of new technology and statistical analysis in predicting the Lions/Falcons game using advanced statistics models, player tracking data, and performance metrics to predict who is likely to win this week.
The Role of Technology in Sports Analytics
Over the past couple of years, sports have been increasingly utilizing technology in their analysis as well as predictions. Technology has allowed for in-game player tracking and created intricate models based on advanced statistics to better understand team results, overall player output, and gameplay. New Mexico State vs. Louisiana Tech: New Mexico State is a bad team (can we call it as such?
How else would you describe the worst defense since ROTC went coed?) but believe us, there are newfangled numbers and good do-dads that enable us to gauge with almost absolute certainty some of this game’s outcome.
Advanced Statistical Models
For better or for worse, statistical modeling has become indispensable in forecasting sports results. Each of these models sift through historical data, player statistics and game conditions to predict probable game results. My models which account for efficiency (both on offense and defense), turnover ratios, and recent play suggest a lean towards the under in this one.
Player Tracking, KPIs and Advanced Metrics
GPS and RFID systems; which help to provide information on player movements, speeds or random positional metrics. Strokerate data will help us determine how players perform in various scenarios and against their opponents. By looking into these statistics, it will be seen in which areas one team has a better match up than the other.
Simulated Games and Predictive Analytics
Analysts predict the outcome of games with relatively good accuracy by simulating them through deep algorithms that consume a lot of historical data. Some of these simulations account for different situations if the game is high scoring, low scoring if players at top perform well, poorly etc. While these computer simulations can be rather accurate in forecasting the outcome of some games, they are typically way off the mark when it comes to New Mexico State vs Louisiana Tech Prediction.
Analyzing New Mexico State and Louisiana Tech Prediction Through a Tech Lens
New Mexico State Aggies
- Offensive Metrics: The Aggies have been both good and bad on the offensive side of the ball this season. And, in a world where nearly every drive has the potential to decide an outcome, their passing game as advanced analytics show us has ruled a little short on accuracy and consistency when facing off against defenses like Louisiana Tech’s. The rushing game has improved, but it is still inconsistent.
- Defensive Metrics: New Mexico State’s defense has struggled to contain high-powered offenses. Yards allowed per play, defensive pass efficiency, among other metrics still show they have work to do. Their numbers are down on the defensive front as well, and that could be an issue against Louisiana Tech and its high octane offense.
- Special Teams: The special teams has been everywhere from spectacular to awful with turnovers in game changing places. The Aggies need some work on turnovers and the special teams to remain in the thick of things.
Louisiana Tech Bulldogs
Louisiana Tech Offensive Metrics: The Bulldogs can put up scores in a hurry but are not always the most efficient on offense. According to the advanced metrics, their passing game is especially good — sporting wide-spread above average completion rates and yards per attempt stats. Their ground game-while not the dominant force of last season-has been strong enough to keep defenses honest.
Defensive Stats: The Georgia defense has been a stalwart but not exactly unassailable. Quick, shifty offenses have given them trouble in the past, and it could be just what New Mexico State needs. Specifically, the data in these areas identify which types of defensive pressure can expose them to blown assignments and/or coverage efficiency weaknesses.
Special Teams and Turnovers: La Tech has a strong special teams unit that helps with field position and points from time to time. They have a positive turnover ratio, meaning they force plenty of turnovers and they do not give up many.
Tech-Driven Prediction for the Game
Using surveys and playing analysis, online sportsbook BetOnline has come up with a prediction for the New Mexico State vs. Louisiana Tech Game in favor of LA-Tech.
Theoretical Model and simulation
Result simulation models have Louisiana Tech as a slight favorite in what should be a close game based on the teams’ performance metrics, player efficiencies and game conditions. The Bulldogs have the offensive advantage here, and what separates these two teams is Georgia has perhaps the most consistent efficiency metrics in college football at 99.
Key Data Points
- Offensive Efficiency: With Louisiana Tech possessing the 35th most efficient passing attack and a strong scoring advantage, New Mexico State will be hard pressed to stop this offense.
- Defensive Pressure: The Aggies have not responded well to defensive pressure and LA Tech’s rebuilding defense presents some mismatches that will be exploited on routes, which leads them to put points on the board
- First and Last a Summary of the Game: Turnovers, Special Teams: Louisiana Tech is likely going to be protected by a favorable turnover margin.
- Prediction: Louisiana Tech 34, New Mexico State 27
In a tech driven look, Louisiana Tech has an edge in both offensive numbers and consistent play, hinting that the Bulldogs will win this one. NCAAF Betting New Mexico State Aggies Free Pick. To remain in the game, New Mexico State will have to get a much better play out of their defense than they did ten years ago and take advantage of any opportunities that present themselves.
Conclusion
It provides a better insight into sports odds predictions by the combination of technology, and data analytics. The Bulldogs are expected to win this game by the media consensus, but according to analytics and advanced stats, the New Mexico State vs. Louisiana Tech is nothing short of a toss up with all indicators showing almost 50/50 (more computer level certainty) odds of winning.
But like always, college football is as unpredictable and exciting a game as there is, so who knows what the NFL standings look like today if Miami finished off that win.Visit Technotrands.com for more info on tech-driven sports analysis and predictions. Having technology involved in sports analysis not only gives a better understanding but it levels up the anticipation over watching your teams or games.
